September 4, 2026
Bonus Content: Snowflake Is Up 21%. The Growth Rate Says Keep Going.
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Snowflake Is Up 21%. The Growth Rate Says Keep Going.
The easy objection to buying Snowflake today writes itself: the stock already surged roughly 23% after earnings, and chasing a gap of that size has a poor historical batting average. Fair enough. But the case for owning SNOW at these levels is not about yesterday’s move. It is about whether the underlying business has crossed an inflection point that changes the multi-quarter trajectory.
Evidence suggests it has.
What the Numbers Actually Say
Product revenue came in at $1.49 billion, with growth accelerating to 37% year over year, and Snowflake exited Q4 of last fiscal year at 30% growth. That is not a one-quarter anomaly. Q2 product revenue growth hit 37%, marking the third straight quarter of acceleration, as management itself put it. Three quarters in a row is a trend, not a beat.
Wall Street had expected roughly $1.48 billion in total revenue and adjusted earnings of about $0.45 per share. Snowflake delivered total Q2 FY27 revenue of about $1.55 billion, up 35% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.62 versus the $0.45 estimate, roughly a 38% positive surprise. On the margin front, non-GAAP operating margin was 15.3%. Growth accelerated and margins beat. Both at once is the rarer outcome.
The AI Flywheel Is Real, Not a Talking Point
Snowflake continues to position CoWork and CoCo as adoption drivers that feed overall platform consumption. That second part matters. AI is not just a stand-alone revenue line; it is pulling users deeper into the base platform, compounding consumption economics.
CoCo surpassed 9,100 accounts, adding more than 2,000 accounts in the quarter, while CoWork expanded to 5,800 accounts. Those are not pilot numbers anymore. Net revenue retention was 126%, and remaining performance obligations increased 30% to $9.0 billion. A 126% NRR means existing customers are spending more each year without Snowflake needing to win a single new logo.
Management raised full-year guidance accordingly. Snowflake raised its FY27 product revenue guidance to $6.07 billion, representing 36% year-over-year growth, and also raised its full-year non-GAAP operating margin outlook.
What Could Go Wrong
The risk list is real. Databricks, still private, said it has hit $7 billion of annualized revenue run rate and is growing about 80% year over year. Databricks has also been valued at $190 billion in a recent funding round, according to TechCrunch. A Databricks IPO at anything close to that level would force direct public-market comparisons that may not flatter Snowflake. Competition from Databricks is intense, potentially pressuring gross margins.
Valuation after the gap is not comfortable. According to TipRanks, 51 analysts have an average price target around $360 over the past three months, and at least one recent $395 target has been published by a covering analyst. Analyst targets raised after a roughly 23% after-hours jump tend to lag the stock for a few sessions, so some digestion is likely. Today’s intraday range has been $303.89 to $319.25, already well below the after-hours peak, suggesting some profit-taking from traders who held into the report.
The Bottom Line
Three consecutive quarters of product revenue acceleration, an approximately 38% EPS beat, a $9.0 billion backlog growing at 30%, and AI products now generating enough traction to show up in the aggregate growth rate, all delivered while expanding margins: that combination is uncommon enough to deserve respect. The post-earnings pullback from the after-hours high gives investors a slightly better entry than those who chased at the open.
Snowflake is not cheap by any standard measure, and Databricks looms as a real competitor. But the quarter demonstrated that the consumption model responds directly to AI workload growth in a way that the bears two years ago did not expect. If enterprise AI spending continues to compound, Snowflake’s platform sits directly in the path of that spending. That makes the 21% move a starting point worth building on, not a reason to step aside.
